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The U.S. army is presently implementing 3D printing on a big scale, specializing in areas comparable to upkeep, restore, and overhaul (MRO), hypersonics, and strengthening the commercial base. This know-how is being adopted by each U.S. service. Nonetheless, these substantial investments may be in useless if the U.S. produces costly gadgets which can be much less efficient than the cheaper weaponry made by near-peer adversaries. General, I consider the US is lacking a possibility to solidify its army lead. As a substitute of reimagining its procurement processes, it would simply be introducing a distinct form of wasteful spending that the army is understood for. Right here, we are going to proceed the place we left off within the final submit and discover extra doubtlessly squandered alternatives.
Squandered Alternative 3: Replicator In all places
The U.S. army’s Replicator initiative stands out as some of the intriguing tasks presently underway. It goals to supply hundreds of drones at unprecedented pace throughout completely different domains. As a standalone effort, that is noteworthy and can supply the U.S. helpful insights into scaling up manufacturing of vital gear in pressing conditions. Nonetheless, there may be potential for rather more vital impression.
If the army redirected simply 20% of its finances in the direction of methods that manufacture reasonably than conventional automobiles and methods, it will make a world of distinction. The U.S. army ought to spend money on versatile factories that, utilizing additive manufacturing together with water jetting, CNC, and different machine instruments, might produce important elements of most automobiles in an automatic method. Basically, this may contain enabling the automated manufacturing of batteries, gearboxes, engines, management methods, and imaginative and prescient methods.
Subsequently, these factories might have completely different manufacturing traces for assembling these “drone hearts” into varied varieties comparable to unmanned aerial automobiles (UAVs), underwater drones, automated gun positions, or land automobiles. This method would considerably lengthen past the Replicator initiative, granting the U.S. army the power to supply automobiles near the battlefield on a big scale. Moreover, it will enable for the crowdsourcing of conflict efforts and allow speedy iteration to adapt these expendable, inexpensive automobiles to native situations and rising threats, thereby offering the US with a strategic benefit.
Protection contractors would then concentrate on bettering car designs, parts, and manufacturing traces that additional automate the manufacturing course of. This idea builds upon my earlier thought of drone swarms to determine a system that creates manufacturing methods, basically a manufacturing unit for factories (see the 2015 video under for extra on that concept). Such an method is technically possible right now and must be pursued by the U.S. army.
Furthermore, from a strategic standpoint, attaining superiority in additive manufacturing is essential for the US to take care of its army lead. In distinction, China solely wants to succeed in a comparable degree in 3D printing to problem the US in army capabilities. Due to this fact, the US should excel in additive applied sciences to protect its benefit.
Squandered Alternative 4: Brittle Spears
In our Brittle Spear collection, we explored how trendy know-how is superior by way of higher security, consolation, and energy. Nonetheless, the complexity of those new methods and gadgets comes with vital drawbacks. They encompass extra supplies and elements sourced globally and are accompanied by firmware, software program, and a wider vary of parts. Consequently, whereas one might doubtlessly preserve a automotive from the Nineteen Fifties indefinitely with primary instruments and elbow grease, sustaining a contemporary automotive for a number of a long time poses challenges as a result of necessity for specialised elements, firmware, software program, and coaching from the producer.
If we goal for strong, dependable, and sturdy know-how appropriate for austere environments, we must always take into account manufacturing gadgets as they did a century in the past. Merchandise produced from single supplies, heavy, almost indestructible, and easy to restore and improve, can be best. Presently, the U.S. is producing high-tech, subtle, however costly and fragile, iPhone-like weaponry. As a substitute, it ought to concentrate on creating factories able to creating methods for warfare. Alongside amenities for superior know-how, it also needs to have people who manufacture extra strong, much less technologically superior, and cheaper gear to be used by each the US and its allies.
The U.S. can’t afford to make use of a $1 million missile to take down a $700 drone or a $300 million UAV to destroy a $20,000 car. It requires weapons that may be produced in massive portions to match these made extra cost-effectively by others. Superior gear might then decisively tip the scales within the U.S.’s favor. A stability between strong, cheap automobiles and high-tech ones would allow the U.S. to counteract swarms and huge numbers of enemy automobiles whereas sustaining its technological edge.
Squandered Alternative 5: Hand Me Downs
Russia is presently being held at bay in Ukraine, primarily with blood and the help of hand-me-downs from the U.S. army. The second greatest military on this planet has been uncovered as an inefficient sham, with Russian techniques criticized for relying closely on artillery, massive bombs, and human wave techniques, whereas additionally using brutality. However, massed dumb artillery turning cities to rubble is working for Russia to a sure extent.
U.S. hand-me-downs, consisting of older gear, regardless that expensive, haven’t been adequate to satisfy all of Ukraine’s wants. Moreover, there may be concern about older US-designed plane doubtlessly falling into adversary arms.
For this it must additionally produce factories at scale that may make linebacker like weapons. Sure, the tremendous shining Mahomes of the weapon world, the F35 will nonetheless rule the skies. However, what if the US might make a manufacturing unit to make cheap Tomahawk cruise missiles? Not the lastest one, only a Block II weapon from the 1990´s? That might give allies a 2500 kilometer vary and a formidable weapon. Or maybe it might license one other missile from an ally and automate the manufacturing of the Taiwanese Hsiung Feng missile or the Turkish Atmaca. If that’s too uncomfortable then maybe the US might make an automatic manufacturing unit making the Burkan 3 which has a 1200 kilometer vary and is presently being utilized by the Houthis to focus on cargo ships. These Scud derived missiles are simply intercepted by up to date air defenses however price round $20,000 to fabricate. Think about should you automated it with a laser cell, welding robots and extra. You don´t have to fret concerning the enemy having access to this know-how, as a result of they have already got it! In fact it wouldn´t work in opposition to enemy ships nevertheless it might take out an enemy tank or trench. In a conflict presently being fought with 155mm weapons and trenches a variety of these missiles would cease assaults or decide the way forward for battles.
Even when the US implements additive effectively, I worry that they won’t go far sufficient. To revitalize procurement after which it to make factories that make factories will to be be a path to victory. This victory will likely be much more probably if the US constructed extra linebackers and fewer quarterbacks. Cheap strong weapons would increase its present excessive tech package to defend the US and its allies successfully in opposition to a rising tide of autocracies.
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